July 9, 2023
The Day After Tomorrow
Post-Russian Space Foresights: Challenges and Opportunities for East & North Asia
From the events that occurred on June 23, 2023, known as “Prigozhin's Rebellion”—whatever actually occurred—only one conclusion can be drawn: This is only the beginning and the security situation in Russia will continue to deteriorate.
If we want to avoid dozens of armed conflicts, the transformation of all of northern Eurasia into a battlefield for bandits, private military companies andFSB agents, along with the proliferation of nuclear weapons and other“delights” inherent to the ongoing collapse of Moscow’s empire, there is only one truly effective alternative: to transform postRussian space into several dozen independent and free states through controlled, non-violent decolonization of the so-called RussianFederation.
We must not only think about and discuss decolonization, we must actively prepare right now. That means developing specific scenarios, plans, roadmaps, coordination, synchronization, communication and operational actions. This situation affects not only security in Europe, Central and East Asia, but the entire planet. Controlled de colonization of Moscow with participation from the free states of the free world is the key to preemptively stopping the Third World (and first nuclear)War by neutralizing the Moscow-Beijing-Pyongyang-Tehran axis of despots and their satellite regimes (Assad, Maduro, Taliban, Lukashenko etc).
The 7th Free Nations PostRussia Forum in Tokyo on August 1–2 is an integral part of this work.
Founded in Spring 2022, the Free Nations of PostRussia Forum is a community and public platform that unites leaders of the movements of captive nations and regions of the “Russian Federation” (which isn’t a federation) withLithuanians, Poles, British, Czechs, Finns, Ukrainians, Georgians, Austrians, Belarusins, Turks, Germans, Kazakhs, Azerbaijanis and Americans with the aim of promoting peaceful, non-violent decolonization of the “Russian Federation.”
The platform engages in an anti-colonial national liberation struggle against the Moscow’s imperialism.
We have already held FNP Forums in the US, the EUParliament, Sweden, the Czech Republic and Poland.
Context and Vision
Decolonization of the“Russian Federation” and reconstruction ofPostRussian territory, transforming it into 20–40 free, independent states, benefits Japan and the entire free world:
1. Complete denuclearization and demilitarization of Russia's successor states: ending the nuclear threat that’s existed since Stalin's ruled the Soviet Union.
2. Shrinking the growing influence of China (the PRC): “united and indivisible” Russia in its current state could slowly transform not just into a junior partner, but a vassal of PRC, becoming a totally dependent resource base and nuclear/military arsenal. By contrast, most of the newly independent states of post-Russia will choose as key strategic partners not PRC, but Japan, theEU, the US, Mongolia, Turkey, South Korea, Taiwan and Kazakhstan. This will also create opportunities for post-PRC time and space.
3. High potential for a Pacific/East Asia security belt: several newly independent democracies in eastern Asia (the Pacific Federation, the United States ofSiberia, Sakha, Buryatia, the Republic of Kamchatka and Chukotka, Tuva etc)would become geopolitical, trade, and military allies of Japan, the US, Taiwan and South Korea. This would significantly limit PRC’s and DPRK’s scope of action in the east and south and shackle their power in the north.
4. Colossal reduction of the geopolitical instability, risks and threats Russia inspires around the world (Ukraine is an exception): from Iran, the Taliban and Hezbollah to the Central African Republic, Syria, Cuba, Congo, Bolivia, Venezuela,Moldova and Georgia (Sakartvelo).
5. Stabilization of the hydrocarbon market: significant reduction in the political exploitation of gas and oil will engender a transition to normal trade relations, in particularwith the independent postRussian states of Tyumen, Siberia, Bashkortostan andTatarstan. This may create new opportunities for influencing and even pressuring authoritarian regimes of Iran and Venezuela.
Stabilization requires CONTROLLED, full-scale structural decolonization and reconstruction of PostRussian space. Forth is, we must assist the transformation of territories in Russia into independent democracies, not just replace inadequate autocrats with slightly less crazy ones.
Schedule of the 7th Free Nations of PostRussia Forum
(We will post a finalized program with a speaker schedule and locations on our social media networks by July 26)
July 31: Opening Evening(Informal communication with the media with opportunities for
journalists to conduct individual interviews with speakers)
August 1–2: Two Full Days ofPublic Speeches and Discussions (Live streaming online)
August 3: Post-Event MorningBrunch
In addition to representatives from Japan, the speakers of the 7th FreeNations PostRussia Forum in Tokyo will include Akhmed Zakaev (Ichkeria), Ilya Ponomaryov, Janusz Bugajski, Kamil Galeev, Sergej Sumlenny, Brian G.Williams, Magomet Toriev (the Caucasus), Ruslan Gabbasov (Bashkortostan), Iyad Youghar (Circassia), Vladimir Khamutaev and Marina Khankhalaeva (Buryatia), Stanislav Suslov (Siberia), Davur Dordzhiev (Kalmykia),Denis Ugriumov (Ingria) etc.
Core Topics of 7th FreeNations of PostRussia Forum:
· Generating strategies for taking proactive action along with possible scenarios for the collapse of the“Russian Federation” and the emergence of independent states in the northern and eastern Asian regions of PostRussia (potentially: Sakha, the PacificFederation, the United States of Siberia, Buryatia, the Republic of Chukotka and Kamchatka, Tuva etc).
· Developing roadmaps to ensure win-win results for both new PostRussian Asian states and their democratic neighbors—Japan, South Korea, Mongolia, Taiwan and others.
· Constructing a new architecture for collective security in north and east Asia that minimizes the risk of gray areas forming and authoritarian regimes (PRC, DPRC etc.)expanding.
· Discussing potential vectors for economic, trade and security cooperation, as well as mutually beneficial resolutions to longstanding disputes related to Russian imperial heritage (in particular, Japan’s Northern Territories and Karafuto).
· Establishing direct dialogue between leaders of the movements of captive nations and regions—the potential leaders of PostRussian states—and representatives from Japan and other free countries of East Asia.
· Assessing opportunities for de-occupation and quick, de facto liberation of the Northern Territories andKarafuto (at least its southern part).
· Creating new economic trade-and security-oriented regional alliances in East Asia to develop good relations between the region’s liberal states (Japan, R.Korea, Taiwan, Mongolia etc) and the new postRussian states in Asia.
Our Future Events:
September 27–30, 2023: 8th Forum in London &Paris (+ probably Strasbourg)
October 25–29, 2023: 9th Forum in Israel & Turkey (+ probably UAE/Qatar)
December 7–10, 2023: 10th Forum in Vienna & Berlin